empty
16.07.2025 01:05 PM
USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

From a technical standpoint, yesterday's breakout above the key psychological level of 148.00—also the June high—and the subsequent move above the May high around 148.65 can be seen as a fresh bullish trigger.

At the same time, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart has approached the 70 mark, above which lies the overbought zone. Therefore, before planning further buying, it would be reasonable to wait for a short-term consolidation or a minor pullback.

The corrective decline has already found support at 148.65. Below this level, the USD/JPY pair may drop to the psychological mark of 148.00. Any further decline could be seen as a buying opportunity, while remaining limited to the 147.60–147.55 zone. This area represents a key reversal point—its breakdown would trigger technical selling, dragging spot prices down toward the 147.00 level on the way to the support zone at 146.30–146.25.

On the other hand, sustained strength beyond the psychological level of 149.00 could lift the USD/JPY pair toward the next resistance around 149.40, followed by the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Beyond that, bullish momentum would face strong resistance near the psychological level of 150.00.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Irina Yanina
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Forex forecast 01/08/2025: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, Gold and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful

Sebastian Seliga 12:24 2025-08-01 UTC+2

Forecast for EUR/USD on August 1, 2025

On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair returned to the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.1454, rebounded from it, and reversed in favor of the US dollar. However, the bears failed

Samir Klishi 11:27 2025-08-01 UTC+2

Forecast for GBP/USD on August 1, 2025

On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Thursday consolidated below the 127.2% retracement level at 1.3258, which suggests a potential continuation of the decline toward the support zone

Samir Klishi 11:11 2025-08-01 UTC+2

EUR/USD. Indicator Analysis and Daily Overview on August 1, 2025

On Thursday, the pair moved upward and tested the 14.6% retracement level at 1.1456 (yellow dashed line), after which the price turned downward and closed the daily candlestick at 1.1414

Stefan Doll 09:48 2025-08-01 UTC+2

Trading Signals for BITCOIN for August 1-5, 2025: buy above $115,000 (200 EMA - 5/8 Murray)

Yesterday, Bitcoin reached strong resistance around the 6/8 Murray level at 118,900 during the American session. BTC failed to break above this area and made a sharp drop

Dimitrios Zappas 07:50 2025-08-01 UTC+2

Trading Signals for GOLD (XAU/USD) for August 1-4, 2025: buy above $3,281 (21 SMA - 4/8 Murray)

Gold is trading around 3,292, bouncing above the 4/8 Murray level and forming a technical pattern called a pennant. A break above 3,396, or even a consolidation above

Dimitrios Zappas 07:47 2025-08-01 UTC+2

EUR/USD Forecast for August 1, 2025

Yesterday, markets saw a broad retreat from risk assets: the S&P 500 declined by 0.37%, the U.S. Dollar Index rose by 0.16%, and oil fell by 0.90%. Yields on government

Laurie Bailey 04:52 2025-08-01 UTC+2

GBP/USD Forecast for August 1, 2025

Yesterday, the British pound spent the day within the expected range of 1.3206–1.3265, closing the day with a black candlestick, while today opened below the lower boundary of that range

Laurie Bailey 04:50 2025-08-01 UTC+2

EUR/JPY Forecast for August 1, 2025

The EUR/JPY pair has fallen sharply from the upper boundary of the price channel, almost at the same time as the Marlin oscillator entered negative territory (daily chart). Yesterday

Laurie Bailey 04:42 2025-08-01 UTC+2

Forecast for EUR/USD on July 31, 2025

On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair continued its decline after rebounding from the 100.0% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.1574. By the end of the day, the pair closed below the 76.4%

Samir Klishi 13:23 2025-07-31 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.