empty
InstaForex Loprais Team - Official participant of the Dakar rally
InstaForex Loprais Team - Official participant of the Dakar rally
This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.
Start as Beginner
How to start trading
Useful information
Training and recordings
InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.
Become Investor
PAMM System
ForexCopy System
Passive investments
Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.
Become Partner
Main Page
Partner Area
Advantages for Affiliates
Registration
This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.
All Promo Campaigns
Bonuses
Contests
Events
Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.
Full details
Forums
We are in social networks
Forex humour
Forex Portal
InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.
Learn More
History
Why Choose Us
InstaSport
Regulation
Company News
Awards
InstaForex Stars
InstaForex Offline
Headquarters
Key documents
Social Responsibility
16.05.2025 10:49 AM
Investors Continue Digesting the Impact of the Tariff Truce Between the U.S. and China (There Is a Chance of Renewed Corrective Decline in Gold and Oil Prices)
Open trading account Open demo account

Markets have fully priced in the outcome of the U.S.–China talks, which resulted in a 90-day trade truce. Weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data offset the early-week optimism.

The recent rally lost momentum amid the release of economic reports throughout the week, which pointed to some softening in inflation and disappointing retail sales figures. These developments heightened concerns over slowing consumer activity. As a result, market participants began considering the likelihood of an earlier start to Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. We are effectively seeing the onset of a new phase of uncertainty: on one hand, the Fed, via Chair Jerome Powell, has signaled no rush to resume rate cuts; on the other, inflation continues to decline gradually, reaching an annual rate of 2.3%. Note that the Fed's target inflation rate is 2%.

What to Expect Amid the End of the Rally and Unclear Prospects for the Fed's Next Moves and Trade Negotiations

It is clear that the U.S. currently lacks the real economic capacity to rebuild its entire domestic industrial base rapidly. Current efforts are based on luring companies from Europe and other countries back to the U.S., and on blatant pressure tactics toward its trade partners. This suggests that Donald Trump will continue to apply geopolitical leverage, which will further deepen uncertainty and increase the risk of triggering a global crisis.

Under these conditions, we should expect the absence of sustainable trends, high volatility, and a general sense of nervousness in the markets.

What Can Be Expected on the Market Today?

I believe the U.S. dollar may continue its gradual decline amid speculation that the Trump administration favors a weaker dollar to remain competitive globally. This perspective is understandable, as American companies encounter significant challenges in international markets due to high domestic labor costs. In this environment, with inflation potentially falling towards 2%, the dollar is likely to remain under pressure. Meanwhile, equity markets may continue their upward trend, driven by expectations of an earlier resumption of Fed rate cuts.

This image is no longer relevant

This image is no longer relevant

Daily Forecast:

Gold

Gold remains under pressure amid reduced U.S.–China trade tensions. The start of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine also weighs on the yellow metal. The price has fallen below the support level 3210.00, which may pave the way for further decline toward 3152.90. The 61.75 mark may serve as a sell level.

WTI Crude Oil (#CL)

WTI crude is trading below the 62.00 level. OPEC+'s stance on increasing output and the weakening demand for crude oil exerts downward pressure on prices. The price may rebound to 62.00, from which I believe it should be sold with a target of 59.80. The 3201.48 level may serve as a sell entry point.

Pati Gani,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
All Analytics
Analytical News
Investors confused: data weak, policy hawkish, hopes pinned on bonds Treasury yields pared earlier losses after Fed Chair Powell's remarks. Middle East tensions linger as Iranian leader rebuffs Trump's surrender demands. Swiss National Bank cuts rates to zero. Stora Enso
14:05 2025-06-19 +02:00
1015
Analytical News
Investors are confused: data is weak, policy is aggressive, hope is in bonds Treasury yields pare previous losses after Fed Chairman Powell's speech Middle East concerns remain Iranian leader rejects Trump's demand for capitulation Swiss National Bank cuts interest rates to zero Stora
Thomas Frank
13:58 2025-06-19 +02:00
1015
Breaking Forecast Trading Plan Cryptocurrencies USD/RUB Russian Economy Video Analysis
Trading Instruments
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF USDCAD USDJPY AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY NZDUSD EURNZD Silver Gold #CL #USDX COVID-19 Bitcoin
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Bank of England to Keep Rates Unchanged

Today, the Bank of England is expected to keep interest rates at 4.25% and signal that it is maintaining its approach of one cut every other meeting, as policymakers
Jakub Novak 11:02 2025-06-19 UTC+2

The Fed Maintains Its Previous Position

The U.S. dollar responded with growth, while risk assets such as the euro and pound declined. Following yesterday's meeting, Federal Reserve officials stated they expect two interest rate cuts
Jakub Novak 10:58 2025-06-19 UTC+2

The Iran-Israel War Has Yet to Exert Significant Negative Influence on Markets (Limited downside risk for gold and upward momentum for #USDX remains possible)

As expected, the U.S. central bank left all key monetary policy parameters unchanged, once again citing ongoing uncertainty about the future state of the national economy—a factor that has become
Pati Gani 09:14 2025-06-19 UTC+2

The Market Keeps Its Options Open

While the White House and the Federal Reserve are in wait-and-see mode, the market has also decided to hold steady. Donald Trump has yet to make a final decision
Marek Petkovich 09:08 2025-06-19 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on June 19? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

No macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Thursday. The only points of attention today will be Christine Lagarde's speeches and the results of the Bank of England meeting, which will
Paolo Greco 06:45 2025-06-19 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – June 19: UK Inflation and the Bank of England Meeting

The GBP/USD currency pair traded relatively calmly on Wednesday, though the day before, it had posted a substantial decline in the second half of the session—more than 100 pips
Paolo Greco 04:02 2025-06-19 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – June 19: Trump Continues to Work Wonders

The EUR/USD currency pair traded more calmly on Wednesday than the previous day. However, the previous day's significant movement also began only closer to the evening. It was not related
Paolo Greco 04:02 2025-06-19 UTC+2

GBP/USD. Inflation, the Bank of England, and Geopolitics

GBP/USD traders did not react to the UK inflation growth report that was published on Wednesday, just before the June Bank of England meeting. The focus of the market remains
Irina Manzenko 00:42 2025-06-19 UTC+2

The Canadian Dollar Still Looks Like a Favorite

Markets remain cautious as several high-impact events loom that could significantly alter the risk balance—namely, the FOMC meeting on Wednesday evening and a potential U.S. intervention in the war between
Kuvat Raharjo 00:42 2025-06-19 UTC+2

The Dollar Is Caught in a Vicious Cycle

The U.S. dollar has become an outcast—not just globally, but even at home. The White House supports everything from stock indices to Bitcoin and even gold through policy uncertainty
Marek Petkovich 00:42 2025-06-19 UTC+2

Top analytics

EUR/USD Overview – June 18: Will the Fed Save the Dollar?
03:57 2025-06-18
Fundamental analysis
EUR/USD Forecast for June 18, 2025
05:49 2025-06-18
Technical analysis
Trading Recommendations and Analysis for GBP/USD on June 18: Pound Remains in a Flat Range
03:56 2025-06-18
Trading plan
Trading Recommendations and Analysis for EUR/USD on June 18: The Dollar Rises Paradoxically
03:56 2025-06-18
Trading plan
USD/JPY Forecast for June 18, 2025
04:58 2025-06-18
Technical analysis
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
Callback widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.