empty
30.09.2024 02:33 PM
GBP/JPY: Overview and Analysis

This image is no longer relevant

Today, the GBP/JPY pair is attracting some buyers amid the decline. However, despite the pair climbing to the 191.00 level, the fundamental factors call for caution among traders with a bullish outlook.

The Japanese yen is weakening following comments from Japan's new Prime Minister, Shigeru Ishiba. He stated that to support the fragile economic recovery, the Bank of Japan's monetary policy should remain accommodative.

Additionally, news that the new Prime Minister plans to hold general elections on October 27, combined with mixed economic data from Japan, has led to a weakening of the yen, which in turn is providing support for the GBP/JPY pair.

On the other side, the British pound is benefiting from restrained demand for the U.S. dollar and expectations of a slower rate-cutting cycle by the Bank of England compared to the Federal Reserve in the U.S. This factor is also supporting the GBP/JPY pair. However, expectations that the Bank of Japan might raise interest rates again by the end of this year could help limit any significant losses for the yen.

Moreover, the risk of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East is expected to benefit the safe-haven Japanese currency, which could help cap gains in the GBP/JPY pair. On Sunday, Israel expanded its confrontation with Iranian-backed forces, launching aggressive airstrikes against the Houthis in Yemen and Hezbollah in Lebanon. This has fueled concerns that the conflict could spiral out of control and trigger a full-scale war in the region.

From a technical perspective, earlier this month, the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossed below the critical 200-day SMA, forming a bearish crossover on the daily chart. Therefore, it would be prudent to wait for strong follow-up buying before positioning for a resumption of the recent recovery from the monthly low, especially in the absence of any significant economic releases that could influence the market today.

Furthermore, oscillators on the daily chart have not yet fully exited positive territory.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Irina Yanina
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Has the ECB Started Intervening?

At first glance, it may seem logical that the euro should be falling due to the political crisis in France. However, in my opinion, this is not such an important

Chin Zhao 20:10 2025-10-07 UTC+2

NZD/USD. Analysis and Forecast

The NZD/USD pair has encountered resistance at the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), around the 0.5845 level. The U.S. dollar is showing positive momentum for the second consecutive day, supported

Irina Yanina 12:26 2025-10-07 UTC+2

GBP/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

Today, the GBP/JPY pair is retreating from a new yearly high — just above the round 203.00 level, reached earlier on Tuesday. Spot quotes show no signs of bearish pressure

Irina Yanina 12:19 2025-10-07 UTC+2

The Market Climbs a Wall of Worry

The stock market continues its upward climb despite multiple concerns. Overvalued fundamentals, trade tariffs, and a government shutdown — all of these typically spell trouble for the S&P

Marek Petkovich 09:40 2025-10-07 UTC+2

Gold Sets a New Record

Yesterday, gold set a new all-time high, approaching the $4,000 per ounce mark. This occurred amid rising market uncertainty driven by the U.S. government shutdown and the ongoing political crisis

Miroslaw Bawulski 08:54 2025-10-07 UTC+2

Statements by European politicians partly supported the euro

The euro rather quickly regained its position against the U.S. dollar after the risks of a political crisis in France were shifted toward a similar political crisis and government shutdown

Jakub Novak 08:12 2025-10-07 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on October 7? A Fundamental Events Breakdown for Beginner Traders

There are no macroeconomic reports scheduled for Tuesday. Therefore, throughout the day, traders will only be able to react to fundamental events — and there will be quite

Paolo Greco 07:31 2025-10-07 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – October 7. The Paradoxical Dollar Doesn't Stop at What Has Been Achieved

The EUR/USD currency pair traded lower throughout Monday, which is, at the very least, surprising. Let's remember that in 2025, the United States faces a multitude of challenges. Each passing

Paolo Greco 04:08 2025-10-07 UTC+2

XAU/USD Price Analysis and Forecast. Gold Looks Set to Extend Its Record-Breaking Rally

The growing confidence that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interest rates two more times this year has been the main driver behind the notable seven-week rally of the traditionally

Irina Yanina 00:24 2025-10-07 UTC+2

Inflation Suits Lagarde

Last week, Christine Lagarde spoke three times. This week, she is scheduled to speak three more times. It may seem that every appearance by the European Central Bank president should

Chin Zhao 00:24 2025-10-07 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.